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Crypto Price Analysis & Overview July 16th, Bitcoin, Ethereum Ripple Cardano, & Polkadot.

Bitcoin

Bitcoin dropped by 3% this week, reaching as low as $31,000. The cryptocurrency popped above the 20-day MA on Sunday but quickly reversed and dropped beneath it on Monday.

It found support mid-week at $32,700 but continued beneath there yesterday to reach $31,185 (downside 1. 618 Fib Extension) today.

The short-term chart gives a better view of the current situation. This chart shows BTC trading within a falling price channel from the beginning of July. When BTC broke the 20-day MA on Sunday, it found resistance at the upper angle of the price channel and started to head lower.

Today’s BTC price channel support was at the lower angle and buyers are trying to defend it. They have risen strongly and are now pushing higher.

Looking ahead, the first resistance lies at $32,300 This is followed by $32,700 and $33,520-$33,800 (20-day). Next, resistance lies at the upper angle of the price channel and then at $35,00 (50-day MA).

On the other side, the first support lies at $31,675. This is followed by $31,185, $31,000 (lower angle of the price channel), $30,500, $30,000, and $29,700 (downside 1. 618 Fib Extension).

btcusd-jul16-min
BTC/USD Daily Chart. TradingView.
btcusd-4hr-jul16-min
BTC/USD 4-Hour Chart. TradingView.

Ethereum

Ethereum is down by a very sharp 10% this week as it reached as low as $1850. The coin fell beneath the 20-day MA on Monday and dropped into the support at $2035 (Feb 2020 Highs). It continued lower on Tuesday to drop beneath the 200-day MA and fell until finding support today at $1888 (. 886 Fib).

It did dip as low as $1850 today, but it seems that buyers are attempting to hold above $1888, which provided strong support in June.

The 4-hour chart again shows a better view of how ETH trades – within a falling wedge pattern. Usually bullish when it breaks towards the upside.

Looking ahead, the first resistance lies at around $1950 (upside of the wedge). This is followed by $2000, $2035 (200-day MA), $2120 (20-day MA), and $2200 (long-term descending trend line).

On the other side, the first support lies at $1888. This is followed by $1850 (weekly low), $1710 (June support), and $1625 (downside 1. 272 Fib Extension).

ethusd-jul16-min
ETH/USD Daily Chart. TradingView.
ethusd-4hr-jul16-min
ETH/USD 4-Hour Chart. TradingView.

ETH is fighting against BTC, after falling below the support at 0. 06 BTC (100-day MA) this week. At the beginning of the week, the coin was below an ascending price channel and began to fall lower, dropping as low as 0. 0584 BTC on Wednesday,

Looking ahead, the first resistance lies in 0. 06 BTC (100-day MA). Then, follow by 0. 0627 BTC (20-day MA), 0. 065 BTC (50-day MA), and 0. 069 BTC (bearish . 618 Fib & June Highs).

On the other hand, the first support is at 0. 0585 BTC. Then, follow by 0. 058 BTC (. 786 Fib), 0.056 BTC (June support), and 0.056 BTC.

ethbtc-jul16-min
ETH/BTC Daily Chart. TradingView.

Ripple

XRP dropped by 3.7% to $0.6 Since July’s beginning, the cryptocurrency has traded in a downward price channel. It has also been trading within a falling wedge ever since June.

The coin tried to get to the upside of a wedge throughout the week, but was unsuccessful every time. Throughout the week, however, the coin found support at the wedge’s lower angle.

This type of wedge pattern is likely to break out to the upside as XRP rapidly approaches the apex.

If the buyers can break the upside, then the first resistance is at $0. 647 (20-day MA). Then comes $0.7 (July resistance), and $0.2. 75 (200-day & 50-day MA confluence).

On the opposite side, the support is around $0. 56 (lower angle of the wedge). Then comes $0. 55 (2019 highs), $0.5, and $0. 478 (July lows).

xrpusd-jul16-min
XRP/USD Daily Chart. TradingView.

XRP trades within a short-term symmetrical triangular pattern against BTC. It is currently at the apex where the market can expect a breakout towards either side. The coin attempted to break resistance at 1900 SAT throughout the week but was rejected by the 20-day MA on each attempt.

Today XRP spiked over the triangle, but has since fallen back to the support at the lower angle.

Looking ahead, if the bears push beneath the triangle, the first support lies at 1800 SAT. This is followed by 1660 SAT (200-day MA & downside 1. 618 Fib Extension), 1600 SAT, and 1550 SAT (Nov 2020 low).

On the other side, the first resistance lies at 1900 SAT (20-day MA, July 2020 low, & triangle angle). This is followed by 2000 SAT, 2120 SAT (bearish . 236 Fib), 2160 SAT (50-day MA), and 2400 SAT (100-day MA).

xrpbtc-jul16-min
XRP/BTC Daily Chart. TradingView.

Cardano

ADA fell by a steep 10.6% this week as the cryptocurrency currently trades at around $1.20. The coin attempted to break above the 20-day MA at around $1. 35 on Monday but failed to close above it.

Since then, it has traded lower within the descending price channel. While the channel’s lower angle continues to support, ADA fails to break its upper angle. A breakout towards the upside would be the first sign back to $1. 50 for ADA.

Looking ahead, the first support lies at $1.15. The next support is $1. 12 (200-day MA, . 618 Fib, & lower boundary of the price channel). Beneath $1. 12, added support lies at $1. 00 and $0. 986 (June lows).

On the other hand, the first resistance is at $1. 25 (upper angle of the price channel). The $1 follows. 30, $1. 35 (20-day MA), $1. 45 (50-day MA), and $1.50.

adausd-jul16-min
ADA/USD Daily Chart. TradingView.

After falling below an ascending triangle at week’s start,

ADA also struggles against BTC. The coin fell beneath the 20-day MA on Tuesday and continued to drop throughout the week, reaching as low as 3730 SAT today.

Looking ahead, the first support lies at 3600 SAT (July lows). This is followed by 3540 SAT (10-day MA, downside 1. 272 Fib Extension & June low-day closing price). Added support lies at 3440 SAT (.5 Fib).

On the other side, the first solid resistance lies at 3900 SAT. This is followed by 4000 SAT (20-day MA), 4100 SAT (50-day MA), and 4200 SAT (July resistance).

adabtc-jul16-min
ADA/BTC Daily Chart. TradingView.

Polkadot

DOT is down a heavy 18% this week as it currently trades at around $12.70. It fell beneath an ascending triangle pattern at the start of the week and continued beneath the $14 (. 786 Fib & June low-day close) support yesterday.

Today, DOT dipped as low as $12. 10, creating a fresh six-month low price.

Looking ahead, if the bears continue lower, the first support lies at $11. This is followed by $10, $9. 60 (. 886 Fib), and $7.50.

On the other side, the first resistance lies at $14. This is followed by $15 (20-day MA), $16. 40, and $17 (July resistance).

dotusd-jul16-min
DOT/USD Daily Chart. TradingView.

DOT also set a new six-month low against BTC after falling below 0. 0004 BTC today. At 0., the resistance was not broken. 0005 BTC at the start of the month and has been sliding ever since.

It fell below the July support level at 0. 000433 BTC on Wednesday, which allowed it to continue beneath 0. 0004 BTC today.

Looking ahead, if bears continue driving DOT lower than before, the first solid support is at 0. 000357 BTC (. 786 Fib). Then, follow 0. 00035 BTC, 0. 000322 BTC (2021 Opening price), and 0. 0003 BTC.

On the other hand, the first resistance lies at 0. 0004 BTC. Then, follow 0. 000433 BTC (July support – now resistance) and 0. 00045 BTC (20-day MA).

dotbtc-jul16-min
DOT/BTC Daily Chart. TradingView.
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Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ethereum

Ethereum at a Crossroads: Will ETH Fall to $1,250?

The largest altcoin by market cap has been among the biggest underperformers during the late 2024/early 2025 bull run, which saw many assets, including BTC, chart fresh peaks.

ETH’s most recent performance has been even more painful, as the asset dumped to its lowest level since November 2023 at under $1,800. The question raised now by analysts is whether ETH will continue losing ground and dump to $1,250.

ETH at $1,250?

Remember 2021? Back then, ETH was charting massive gains and its price soared toward $5,000. In fact, speculations emerged about a potential event called the ‘flippening,’ in which Ethereum could surpass Bitcoin and become the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Fast-forward some three and a half years later and that seems as distant from reality as fiat money becoming disinflationary. ETH bottomed below $1,000 during the 2022 bear market but went on the offensive again two years later. It failed to decisively overcome the $4,000 target despite its numerous attempts to conquer it in 2024. The latest rejection came in mid-December.

Since then, ETH’s price has nosedived hard, which culminated (for now) earlier this week with a drop below $1,800. As such, Ethereum not only erased all the gains registered after Trump’s presidential election victory but even plunged to its lowest levels since November 2023.

According to Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst with over 130,000 followers on X, the asset’s price drop meant that it had broken out of a years-long parallel channel, which could spell further trouble. In fact, he forecasted a slump to $1,250 – a level not seen in over two years.

#Ethereum $ETH targets $1,250 after breaking out from this parallel channel! pic.twitter.com/XS3N9p8Unr

— Ali (@ali_charts) March 14, 2025

But ETH Whales Keep Buying

CryptoPotato has repeatedly reported in recent weeks Ethereum whales’ predominantly bullish behavior. Recall that within a 48-hour period alone, they accumulated 1.1 million ETH, which is nearly 1% of the total supply. At the prices back then, it was worth over $2 billion in USD.

Martinez brought another chart showing that these large entities acquired more than 420,000 ETH in the following five days, valued at $800 million at today’s prices. Such massive accumulations should benefit the underlying asset as they decrease the immediate selling pressure. However, ETH’s price is yet to stage a notable recovery as it still sits below $2,000.

Whales have bought more than 420,000 #Ethereum $ETH in the last five days! pic.twitter.com/ZFF57gbq0e

— Ali (@ali_charts) March 14, 2025

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Ethereum

Why Is Ethereum (ETH) Falling Without Major Liquidations? ITB Breaks It Down

The price of ether (ETH) has been steadily declining for months, with this plunge taking a turn for the worse recently. However, the market intelligence firm IntoTheBlock found that the latest dip did not trigger huge liquidations compared to previous events.

According to an IntoTheBlock tweet, ETH liquidations have remained relatively moderate despite the cryptocurrency dropping to levels not seen in more than a year.

ETH Is Dipping Without Major Liquidations

IntoTheBlock says the moderate liquidations can be traced to a significant decline in high-risk loans across lending platforms. Investors are taking a risk-off stance as they apply more caution in their positions. This is likely driven by macro concerns regarding potential global tariff tensions.

The United States has been knee-deep in economic uncertainty for a while after President Donald Trump imposed tariffs against its major trade partners, including China, Canada, and Mexico.

Although some industry analysts believe the trade tariffs will positively impact cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin (BTC), in the long term, the market has experienced high volatility since Trump made the announcements earlier last month. On the day Trump imposed the tariffs, about $400 billion was wiped out from the market, with the overall capitalization falling by at least 11% within 24 hours.

According to CoinMarketCap data, ETH has nosedived from the $2,800 level to at least $1,760 since early February. The second-largest crypto asset has been struggling, and just this week, it fell by roughly 13% after failing to hold a support level above $2,000. The coin is now trading at levels not seen since 2023. It was worth $1,900 at the time of writing.

ETH Price Outlook

CryptoPotato reported that ETH buyers have retreated and found support at the $1,800 level. However, it remains uncertain if ETH has bottomed and if this support level will be strong enough to reduce the selling pressure and allow the asset to start a recovery.

At its current price, ether is roughly 60% down from its mid-December high of $3,990. Unfortunately, further down pressure could drag the asset to $1,600. These possible scenarios, coupled with Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin, have fueled investor caution.

Meanwhile, IntoTheBlock discovered a few days ago that ETH holders may be seeing this dip as a buying opportunity and are loading up on the asset. This is seen in the amount of ETH that left crypto exchanges last week—$1.8 billion worth of assets, marking the highest weekly amount since December 2022.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Double Trouble: ETH Prices Fall Below $1,800 Price Crash Amid Testnet Attack

Crypto market capitalization has tanked to its lowest point since early November with $240 billion getting wiped out over the past day.

This has resulted in a 6% fall to $2.6 trillion as all post-US election gains have now been wiped out.

Ethereum has taken the brunt of the fall, losing a whopping 16% over 12 hours as it fell from around $2,140 to just below $1,800. Moreover, ETH is struggling to recover and was trading at $1,860 at the time of writing.

ETH Death?

The last time Ethereum traded below $1,800 was in October 2023, when it was slowly emerging from the two-year-long bear market.

There is solid support at current levels, which must be held to prevent the asset from tanking back to bear market lows following the formation of what appears to be a double-top chart pattern.

Analysts have warned that if support here is lost, ETH could fall as low as $1,200.

Screenshot 2025-03-11 at 9.49.44

Ethereum is currently down a painful 62% from its all-time high in 2021, and the ETH/BTC ratio – which is a measure of the price of ETH in terms of Satoshis – is at its lowest level since December 2020, having fallen to 0.023 today, according to Tradingview.

Only Dogecoin (DOGE) had heavier losses than Ethereum in the crypto top twenty today, with the memecoin melting by 11%.

It does beg the question of who would be selling ETH at $2,000 and the answer appears to be whales that are trying to avoid being liquidated, according to Lookonchain.

Screenshot 2025-03-11 at 9.52.13

Needless to say, the Ethereum derision and FUD had escalated to new heights on Crypto Twitter as traders and investors licked their wounds.

Ethereum Testnet Attacked

The ETH angst has been exacerbated by problems with Pectra testing and an unknown attacker sending zero-token transfers, causing empty blocks.

On March 9, Ethereum developer Marius van der Wijden said the issue had been fixed:

“We suspected that the attacker was reading some of our chats, so we decided not to publicize the fix, but only update a few nodes that we controlled in order to get more full blocks on the network,”

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