This month, the price of bitcoin sank below the $60K zone this month after reaching an all-time high (ATH) at $69K per unit. Although Plan B, a pseudonymous analyst who created the stock-to-flow (S2F) bitcoin price model, correctly called the last three months’ bitcoin prices. However, the analyst’s “worst case scenario” prediction for November was incorrect. Despite the recent bitcoin price drop, Plan B still seems confident bitcoin’s price is “on track towards $100K.”
Plan B’s Bitcoin Price Prediction for November Misses the Analyst’s $98K Call
The infamous pseudonymous bitcoin analyst Plan B is well respected among bitcoiners and has amassed 1.5 million Twitter followers since October 2017. Plan B is the creator of the popular bitcoin price model called stock-to-flow (S2F), which quantifies the commodity’s (bitcoin) scarcity and then divides it by yearly issuance (the flow). The analyst has done well as far as bitcoin (BTC) price predictions are concerned, but this month one of his calls missed.
It started four months ago when Plan B tweeted about his “worst-case scenario for 2021” forecast in June. Plan B stated that he believed BTC prices would be “Aug>47K, Sep>43K, Oct>63K, Nov>98K, Dec>135K” in the worst-case scenario.
BTC/USD price (daily chart) on Bitstamp on November 29, 2021.
So far three out of four of his monthly price predictions have come to fruition and Plan B was also correct when he said: “$64K was not the top.” The miss this month was the first time Plan B’s prediction has been off so far as the call for November had a $98K target.
Plan A Recognizes November Price Prediction Mistaken
Plan B acknowledged that his prediction missed this month as bitcoin (BTC) prices slid under the $60K zone following the recent $69K ATH. “Floor model $98K [November] close will probably be a first miss (after nailing Aug, Sep, Oct). S2F model not affected and indeed on track towards $100K,” Plan B stressed to his 1.5 million followers on November 25.
More than 39,000 accounts on Twitter liked the tweet and it was shared close to 5,000 times. Three out of four forecasts are accurate and Plan B’s followers are interested in the December price.
Two days later, the pseudonymous bitcoin analyst tweeted about the crypto asset’s relative strength index (RSI). “Bitcoin RSI 66 and 10% below monthly close ATH,” Plan B said. The following day, Plan B noted that “bitcoin has better risk-adjusted returns than all other assets.”
The analyst also created a poll, which has 18 hours left, but so far has received 142,490 votes. The poll asks if $69K was the top for this halving cycle or if the price of bitcoin (BTC) will exceed the $69K ATH reached on November 10. Stats from Plan B’s poll indicate that at the time of writing, 78.4% think BTC‘s price will surpass $69K while 21.6% voted that “$69K was the top.”
What do you think about Plan B missing the November prediction but correctly forecasting the last three months prior? Do you think bitcoin is headed for $100K or do you think $69K was the top? Please comment below to let us know your thoughts on this topic.
Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons, Twitter,
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