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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Reclaims 4K Post Crash, Reaching the 3.5-Year Low Against BTC

The bad news is that following the crypto market collapse, ETH crashed to $3,470 on Bitstamp on Saturday early morning UTC. The good news is that ETH recovered most of the losses and reclaimed the critical support level of $4K.

Key Support levels: $4,000

Key Resistance levels: $4,284, $4,500, $4,868 (ATH)

Despite Saturday’s market crash, which saw significant liquidations by over-exposed leveraged traders led to a market crash, Ethereum was able to recover nearly 100% as of this writing.

This is a signal to the market that ETH has firmly held against Bitcoin. Bitcoin appears weaker after this weekend’s crash. Although ETH was able to quickly recover and reclaim $4K, this cannot be said for Bitcoin.

This is why the ETH/BTC chart shows that ETH has just reached 0. 085 BTC, which is the highest level since May 2018. The record high for Bitcoin is 0. 15 BTC, and Ethereum appears well on its way towards that target after breaking above the key resistance at 0. 080 BTC, along with a horizontal triangle pattern (as shown on the following chart)

Against the USD, ETH has to remain above the key support at $4,000 to maintain the bullish price action and then likely to face resistance levels at $4,284, $4,500, and $4,868 (ATH).

ETH/BTC Chart by TradingView

Technical Indicators

Trading volume: The volume reached its peak during the crash. The recovery candle saw much less volume. Best to be cautious because of this, particularly once the price reaches the first resistance at $4,284. This means that the volume is not favorable to the bulls at the moment.

RSI: The daily RSI made a higher low, despite the crash. This is a sign that there is strength and a chance for a quick recovery.

MACD: The MACD was bullish before the crash, but this quickly rolled over due to the collapse, as the moving averages flipped back down and the histogram went into the negative territory. If ETH stays above $4,000, the MACD will likely revert back to the bullish territory.

Chart by TradingView

Bias

The bias for ETH has been neutral. It is still too early to be bullish. Traders should be cautious since any rejection at resistance levels could lead to an excessive reaction from the market. This may be due to the recent cryptocurrency market crash.

Short-Term Price Prediction for ETH

Ethereum’s fast recovery back above the psychological level at $4,000 is a key win for the bulls and if they can sustain it, then confidence in ETH will return and build up momentum for a rally. ETH must not close a daily candle below $4,000. As long as that is the case, ETH will be well-positioned to achieve higher targets.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. This information does not reflect the views of CryptoPotato about whether to invest in, sell or hold investments. Before making any investment decision, you are strongly advised to do your own research. You are responsible for any use of the information. For more information, please refer to Disclaimer.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ethereum

Is Ethereum (ETH) The Most Obvious Trade in 2025?

TL;DR

  • ETH is the subject of multiple optimistic predictions, with some well-known analysts forecasting a rise to a new ATH soon.
  • Rising spot ETH ETF inflows reflect growing institutional interest and bullish momentum. However, recent positive exchange netflows hint at possible sell pressure ahead.

Is ETH the Right Horse?

Ethereum (ETH) has rebounded from the multi-year low of under $1,400 in April and currently trades at well above $2,500. 

Its resurgence brought back optimism among industry participants, with many viewing it as an attractive investment opportunity. The X user Crypto Rover (who has over 1.2 million followers) recently argued that ETH “is the most obvious trade in 2025.” 

$ETH is the most obvious trade in 2025! pic.twitter.com/NhywHpRnzT

— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) June 19, 2025

He claimed the asset’s latest rally resembles the one from 2020, which continued until the end of 2021 when the price reached an all-time high of just south of $5,000. 

Crypto Caesar touched upon ETH’s positive performance in the past hour, summarizing that “it’s looking good for now.” The analyst urged investors to remain patient, claiming that only the potential outbreak of World War III could derail the bullish momentum.

Crypto Fella believes ETH’s next rally is a matter of when not if. The X user envisions new peak levels ahead, though the price may dip before heading higher.

Those willing to explore additional recent forecasts involving Ethereum can refer to our dedicated article here.

What Are the Indicators Signaling?

Over the past several weeks, there has been an evident influx of capital toward spot ETH ETFs. Data compiled by SoSoValue shows that the last day when the netflow was negative (outflows exceeding inflows) was on May 15.

Spot ETH ETF Inflows
Spot ETH ETF Inflows, Source: SoSoValue

The development generally indicates that a rising number of investors have been buying shares of these funds, showcasing their confidence in the asset. Spot ETFs hold actual ETH, so these purchases can benefit the bulls. 

Nonetheless, it’s not all sunshine and roses. The Ethereum exchange netflow has been predominantly positive in the last few days, suggesting that some investors have moved their holdings to centralized platforms. This is typically considered a pre-sale step and might have a negative influence on the valuation.


ETH Exchange Netflow
ETH Exchange Netflow, Source: CryptoQuant
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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Consolidation Continues as Bullish Momentum Starts to Fade

Ethereum has entered a consolidation phase after a strong rally in the last couple of months. The price has been ranging between key support and resistance zones, with multiple failed attempts to break above the $2,700–$2,800 region.

Despite the lack of immediate trend continuation, on-chain fundamentals such as exchange reserves hint at significant structural shifts. This sets the stage for potential volatility ahead as the market prepares for its next directional move.

Technical Analysis

By ShayanMarkets

The Daily Chart

On the daily timeframe, ETH remains inside an ascending channel, consistently finding support around the $2,400 area while struggling to break above the $2,800 mark.

The upper boundary of this channel, combined with the 200-day moving average and a key order block formed in February, is acting as a heavy resistance element. Each test of this level has led to a rejection, but so far, the structure hasn’t broken down, indicating that bulls are still in control for now.

Momentum, however, is weakening. The RSI hovers around the midline at 51, reflecting indecision and a lack of strong directional drive. If ETH can reclaim the upper range and flip the $2,700–$2,800 area into support, it could initiate a new leg higher toward $3,000 and above. On the flip side, a breakdown below $2,400 would shift the bias bearish, exposing the $2,150 support zone.

The 4-Hour Chart

Zooming in on the 4H chart, ETH is still grinding within the same rising channel. After the recent drop from $2,875 to $2,430, the price retraced into the 0.5–0.618 Fibonacci zone, but has been rejected to the downside and is now consolidating below it. This area, between $2,600 and $2,700, has repeatedly acted as a supply zone, rejecting bullish attempts multiple times. For short-term traders, this remains the key level to flip.

Until this resistance breaks, ETH may continue its range-bound behavior. The RSI has recovered slightly from oversold conditions, now sitting near 52. While this suggests a slight uptick in momentum, there’s still no clear sign of bullish dominance. If the bulls fail to break above this key fib zone soon, another drop toward the lower boundary of the channel near $2,400 is likely.

Sentiment Analysis

One of the most important long-term signals for Ethereum remains the consistent downtrend in exchange reserves. Currently sitting at 18.8 million ETH, this is one of the lowest levels in recent history. Exchange reserve data indicates how much ETH is held on centralized trading platforms, meaning a downtrend signals that coins are being withdrawn into self-custody, staking, or cold wallets.

Historically, sustained drops in exchange reserves suggest a supply squeeze narrative building beneath the surface. Fewer tokens on exchanges reduce the available selling pressure and can lead to explosive upside when demand rises.

Even as ETH struggles to break out technically, this silent accumulation phase shows confidence among long-term holders. If this trend continues, it may act as a powerful tailwind once technical resistance levels are finally breached.

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ethereum

Trump-Tied Company Files for Dual Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF Product

Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG), parent company of Truth Social, has partnered with investment firm Yorkville America Digital to file for a spot bitcoin and ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF) with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Truth Social Owner Seeks Approval for 3:1 Bitcoin-Ethereum ETF The “Truth Social Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF…
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