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Ethereum

ETH is about to lose $3000

The bears took control of the crypto market last week and were able to push the ETH price down 12% since reaching its weekly high above $3500.

The DXY index is increasing, and the news from China regarding COVID19 cases has brought back the fear into the market. It is unclear if the market will continue to be bullish if it waits for lower levels, below $3K.

The Daily Chart

Technical analysis by Grizzly

In this analysis, the Trend is examined using the Volume Delta index and the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio Index, which are related to the order books of derivatives exchanges.

On the daily timeframe, ETH is very close to the key support level at $2800 – $3000 (marked green), which has shown an excellent area for a possible trend reversal.

As you can see, the uptrend was accompanied by a rise in buyer takers’ strength (yellow line) and an increase volume delta (yellow rectangular).

This shows that buyers are more aggressive and greedy than sellers when they cause price increases. The downtrend, however, increased the strength and willingness to take on sellers (marked blue). It still doesn’t show any upward signs on the charts. We will have to wait to see if greedy buyers re-enter at the key support.

If ETH drops below this level, the bloodbath will expand. As we have said, it is better to be more careful and avoid making emotional decisions.

ETH - Daily - 11th April

Moving average levels

MA20: $3277

MA50: $2941

MA100: $2967

MA200: $3489

The 4-Hour Chart

On the 4-hour timeframe, ETH failed to break the MA100 (marked blue) after two attempts, and the price has dropped to MA200 (marked white). The bulls are currently trying to keep it. The RSI 14-day indicator is also close to the oversold zone.

As mentioned in the analysis above, the most important thing now is to hold support at $2800 – $3000.

ETH - 4H - 11th April

On chain analysis: Fund Holding

Fund Holing is the sum of all coins in digital assets such as trusts and ETFs. As indirect investment becomes more popular, the amount could rise.

Indirect investors have been increasing their demand for Ethereum in the last few months due to rising prices. However, now that the price has fallen, investors seem more cautious and demand is declining.

ETH - on-chain - 11th April

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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. This information does not reflect the views of CryptoPotato about whether to invest in, sell or hold investments. Before making any investment decision, you are strongly advised to do your own research. You are responsible for any use of the information. For more information, please refer to Disclaimer.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Explodes Above $3K, Charts 20% Weekly Gains

Ethereum has seen a significant uptick in buying pressure near the $2.4K support level, driving an impulsive price surge and reclaiming several key resistance regions. This action is signaling a potential shift towards a bullish market sentiment, with higher price levels expected in the mid-term.

By Shayan

The Daily Chart

The daily chart shows that intensified buying near the channel’s middle boundary of $2.4K has sparked a substantial upward move, allowing Ethereum to break through several critical resistance points:

  • The 100-day moving average at $2.5K
  • The descending channel’s upper boundary is around $2.8K
  • The 200-day moving average at $3K

This strong performance suggests a bullish shift, with Ethereum reclaiming these resistance levels. Additionally, crossing the psychological $3K threshold reinforces a positive market sentiment, raising the possibility of reaching a new all-time high by year-end. However, a brief consolidation corrections phase might be necessary to sustain this trend healthily, allowing for potential profit-taking and market stabilization.

eth_price_chart_0911241
Source: TradingView

The 4-Hour Chart

The 4-hour chart shows an initial surge from $2.4K, the lower boundary of the descending flag pattern, where buying pressure has been strong. Ethereum has now surpassed the $2.8K resistance, which had acted as a significant barrier in recent months.

This break highlights buyers’ intent to increase the price, with eyes potentially set on a new ATH.

Currently, Ethereum is approaching $3.1K, the flag’s upper boundary, where notable selling pressure may emerge. Given the impulsive nature of the recent increase, a short-term rejection followed by a temporary corrective retracement seems possible. In this case, a brief correction toward the support range of $2.7K —$2.6K (bounded by the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels) would be beneficial, setting the stage for a healthier uptrend.

eth_price_chart_0911242
Source: TradingView

By Shayan

The fund market premium metric is an essential indicator, as it reflects the difference between a fund’s market price and its Net Asset Value (NAV). When the premium is elevated, it suggests strong buying pressure within a specific region, indicating that investors are paying a higher price for fund shares relative to the underlying assets.

This premium metric substantially declined from mid-November 2021, when Ethereum reached its all-time high. This decline aligned with waning interest in Ethereum funds, a typical response as investors became cautious during the subsequent bear market.

However, a pivotal shift occurred as Ethereum reached its bear market low. The premium metric started to rise modestly, marking a return on investor interest. Since January 2023, this premium has steadily increased, signaling a resurgence in confidence for Ethereum-backed assets. Recently, the premium moved above zero, revealing positive market sentiment and suggesting robust demand for Ethereum funds.

In summary, the positive shift in the premium metric is a promising sign of renewed market optimism. If this trend persists, it could reinforce Ethereum’s broader price momentum, potentially contributing to its future price growth trajectory.

eth_funding_rate_premium_chart_0911241
Source: TradingView
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Disclaimer: Information found on CryptoPotato is those of writers quoted. It does not represent the opinions of CryptoPotato on whether to buy, sell, or hold any investments. You are advised to conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Use provided information at your own risk. See Disclaimer for more information.

Cryptocurrency charts by TradingView.

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Ethereum

Ethereum Bear Liquidated for $23M as ETH Eyes $3K, BTC Notches New ATH

Bears shorting the market continue to be on the wrong side of the spectrum as almost all cryptocurrencies are charting more gains ever since Donald Trump won the 2024 US presidential elections.

In the past few hours alone, BTC tapped a fresh peak at over $77,000, while ETH is itching closer to $3,000, and a particular whale was caught off guard on BitMEX.

It has been a rather spectacular week for the cryptocurrency market. It all started as it became evident Trump will be the next US president on Wednesday morning. Bitcoin, which has been praised by the Republican candidate during his campaign this time, led the charge and broke its March all-time high of $73,737 on Wednesday.

That was just the beginning for the largest digital asset as it kept pumping after the Fed’s rate cute yesterday to notch a then-all-time high of $76,800. After a brief retracement today, BTC went back on the offensive hours ago and exceeded $77,000 for the first time ever. CoinGecko data shows that its current all-time high is at $77,020.

But the altcoins are left behind no more. Ethereum has awakened after its sluggish summer and skyrocketed by 19% on a weekly scale. As such, ETH is close to $3,000 for the first time in over three months.

Data from CoinGlass shows that these price increases have led to over $260 million in liquidations over the past day. More than 90,000 over-leveraged traders have been wrecked, while the single-largest position took place on BitMEX and it was a big one.

Interestingly, this time the whale in question had shorted Ethereum, unlike the previous BTC bear from earlier this week. The value of the wrecked position is close to $23 million.

Liquidation Heat Map. Source: CoinGlass
Liquidation Heat Map. Source: CoinGlass
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Ethereum

Michigan State Retirement Fund Now Holds More Ethereum Than Bitcoin

The State of Michigan Retirement System (SMRS) has significantly increased its Ethereum (ETH) holdings, raising its investment to $10 million and surpassing its Bitcoin (BTC) allocation.

This move makes Michigan the first U.S. state pension fund to invest in an Ethereum-based exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Michigan Pension Fund’s Crypto Portfolio

SMRS, which boasts more than $13 billion in assets, began exploring cryptocurrency earlier this year as part of a broader diversification strategy.

In July, it got into BTC with a $6.6 million purchase of ARK 21Shares’ spot Bitcoin ETF, more than six months after the Securities and Exchanges Commission (SEC) approved the investment product.

According to a recent SEC filing, SMRS now holds 460,000 shares in the Grayscale Ethereum Trust (ETHE), valued at about $10.07 million. It also owns another $1.12 million worth of Ethereum Mini Trust shares. Combined, these holdings total nearly $11 million exclusively in Ethereum-based ETFs.

This increased allocation means that SMRS now has more money invested in Ethereum than Bitcoin, given that its ARK 21Shares position is valued at approximately $7 million.

More U.S. States Embrace Crypto Investments

Michigan’s focus on Ethereum reflects a growing interest among U.S. states in the broader potential of digital assets. In Florida, Chief Financial Officer Jimmy Patronis recently advocated for Bitcoin’s inclusion in the state’s retirement system.

In a letter to the Florida State Board of Administration, Patronis cited the state’s strong economic performance and history of innovation as reasons to explore Bitcoin. He proposed a “Digital Currency Investment Pilot Program” to diversify the Florida Growth Fund into such asset classes.

Wisconsin has also allocated a small portion of its pension funds to crypto assets. In August, the State of Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB) announced it had increased its holdings in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) by 447,651 shares.

Meanwhile, Arizona’s state Senate has advanced legislation to add digital assets to its retirement system, with Wyoming and Nebraska enacting laws to attract cryptocurrency mining and establish a regulatory framework for crypto banks.

Pennsylvania’s legislative assembly also recently advanced a “Bitcoin Rights” bill to clarify the state’s regulations on digital assets. If Governor Josh Shapiro signs it, Pennsylvania will join other states in setting its digital asset regulations amid ongoing uncertainty perpetuated by policies like the SEC’s “regulation by enforcement” approach.

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