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Raoul Pal believes it is likely that the market has reached its bottom

Raoul Pal is the CEO and founder of Real Vision. He believes that the crypto market has “found it’s bottom” and that a new upward momentum is possible. The Real Vision CEO made his comments during an interview with Layah Heilpurn, with his outlook coming at a time Bitcoin and the rest of crypto is…

Raoul Pal is the CEO and founder of Real Vision. He believes that the crypto market has “found it’s bottom” and that a new upward momentum is possible.

The Real Vision CEO made his comments during an interview with Layah Heilpurn, with his outlook coming at a time Bitcoin and the rest of crypto is looking to bounce after a bout of fresh declines over the past few days.

Bitcoin, which traded to lows near $39,000 this week, has recovered some of the losses to currently hover near $41,200. BTC-USD has risen 4% in the last 24 hours while crypto market capitalisation rose 3%.

Ethereum, Cardano (ADA), BNB(BNB), XRP (XRP), and Solana have all increased more than 3% over the past 24hours. Avalanche, Litecoin (LTC), Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Bitcoin Cash (BCH) are the top crypto gainers of the day.

Crypto did not make a new low

According to Pal, the cryptocurrency market has been affected by several macro developments in recent months. Despite several negative triggers, there has not been a new bottom since the 2021 last bottom.

This scenario suggests crypto resilience, and could point to a low being in, though no one can predict the market.

The balance of probabilities is that we made the low last year, we retested the low this year and I think the low is in,” he noted.

He believes that crypto has seen everything that could have helped drive prices to a new low. This has not happened yet. Heilpurn was told by he:

I think we’ve thrown an army, 8.5% inflation and the Fed raising interest rates all at crypto. We’ve also thrown the Chinese ban and [yet it] didn’t make a new bottom. Usually, that’s usually a signal the market has found its bottom.”

A slowing economy could lead to new upward action

A slowdown in economic growth is Pal’s top choice for triggering crypto price drops. This is a scenario that will trigger buying pressure in assets that “tend to outperform in low growth environments.”

He says that a change in the economic landscape could see “people fear inflation less and start fearing growth more.”According to Pal, this is when long-duration assets (and crypto is one such asset that loves a slowing economy) begin to outperform.

In the stock market, Cathie Wood’s ARKK can be a great example.

Pal also discussed Bitcoin’s four year cycle narrative. He noted that these are likely to be overdue given the market’s current size compared with the early years. He said that the cycle could still have an impact but it could be smaller as more adoption reduces wild volatility.

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Germany’s AfD party proposes Bitcoin as strategic asset

The AfD party is urging Germany to treat Bitcoin as a strategic national asset. The AfD Bitcoin reserve motion seeks MiCA exemption and clear, favorable tax rules. AfD is pushing Bitcoin as “state-free money” to boost sovereignty. Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has put forward a parliamentary motion urging the government to recognize Bitcoin…


Germany's AfD party proposes Bitcoin as strategic asset

  • The AfD party is urging Germany to treat Bitcoin as a strategic national asset.
  • The AfD Bitcoin reserve motion seeks MiCA exemption and clear, favorable tax rules.
  • AfD is pushing Bitcoin as “state-free money” to boost sovereignty.

Germany’s Alternative for Germany (AfD) party has put forward a parliamentary motion urging the government to recognize Bitcoin as a strategic asset.

The short, forceful proposal argues Bitcoin deserves distinct treatment from other crypto-assets and calls for tax and regulatory relief to bolster innovation and national sovereignty.

The Bitcoin strategic reserve motion by AfD

The AfD motion urges lawmakers to treat Bitcoin differently from tokens and stablecoins covered by the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.

It argues Bitcoin’s decentralised design and fixed supply make it a unique form of digital value that should not be shoehorned into rules intended for centrally issued crypto instruments.

The party explicitly proposes that the government consider accumulating Bitcoin within national reserves as a hedge against inflation and currency volatility.

A central demand in the motion is tax certainty.

AfD lawmakers want to preserve the existing 12-month holding exemption for private capital gains and maintain Bitcoin’s exemption from VAT.

They also call for private mining and running Lightning Network nodes to be clearly classified as non-commercial activities, reducing administrative burdens for individual participants.

The motion stresses the right to self-custody and warns that legal uncertainty deters long-term private investment.

AfD frames the proposal as part of a broader defence of digital sovereignty.

The party opposes a European digital euro and portrays Bitcoin as “state-free money” that can protect liberties and reduce dependence on centrally issued currency instruments.

The motion arrives amid debate over Germany’s decision in mid-2024 to sell nearly 50,000 BTC seized from criminal proceedings — an action AfD and others now characterise as a policy mistake given subsequent price movements.

The proposal argues that heavy-handed national implementation of MiCA risks capital flight and diminishes Germany’s standing in blockchain innovation.

AfD lawmakers say excessive rules will push firms and talent to friendlier jurisdictions, eroding competitiveness in a field with rapidly evolving technology and commercial models.

AfD also highlights potential synergies between Bitcoin and energy policy.

The motion suggests that productive uses of excess renewable supply — including mining — could create a technological and economic fit between Germany’s energy transition and the Bitcoin network.

The party frames state accumulation of Bitcoin as a prudent diversification of reserve assets, drawing parallels to moves and proposals in other European countries that have discussed or adopted similar approaches.

Beyond urging a strategic statement from the federal government, the motion seeks concrete commitments: keep tax advantages intact, exempt certain private operations from commercial classification, enshrine self-custody rights, and open study of Bitcoin’s role in reserves and energy integration.

AfD wants the Bundestag to formally recognise Bitcoin’s distinct status and to restrain national rule-making that would extend MiCA beyond its intended scope.

The reaction from the public

Supporters in crypto circles welcomed the proposal as a sign that mainstream political debate is shifting away from dismissive tropes about digital currencies.

Critics, however, worry the plan could politicise reserve policy or clash with EU regulatory intent.

Observers note that Germany occupies an outsized spot in Europe’s economy, so any move to treat Bitcoin strategically would reverberate across markets and policy debates.

As Bundestag review AfD’s motions and the larger question of how national policy should sit alongside EU rules, whether the proposal gains traction depends on cross-party calculation about economic benefits, sovereign risk, and regulatory coherence.


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