In the final days of July, bears took advantage of the opportunity to halt the rally that began two weeks ago. This resulted in the monthly candle closing with long wicks, which signifies the battle between the bears and the bulls inside the range of $1,350 to $1,800.
Investors have been able to reduce their risk appetite due to ongoing disputes between China & Taiwan.
The bulls failed in their first attempt to break the resistance at the $1,700-$1,800 range (in red). After several hits at the 100-day moving average line (in yellow), the bears finally pushed the price down 12% from last week’s high ($1,784).
The upsloping 20-day moving average (in white) is considered the first support ahead of the price, which lies at $1528. If ETH breaks below that, the next stop is at $1350, the latest low during the recent bullish leg was formed. This support is important to monitor as it invalidates the bullish structure.
High-risk assets aren’t very appealing to investors at the moment due to geopolitical tensions within Asia. It is unlikely that the price will see significant upward movement until the bulls push it above the resistance zone.
Source: TradingView
Key Support Levels: $1500 & $1350
Key Resistance Levels: $1800 & $2170
Daily Moving Averages:
MA20: $1528
MA50: $1293
MA100: $1718
MA200: $2318
The ETH/BTC Chart
The recent bullish-sharp trend was stopped when the horizontal resistance at 0. 073 BTC (in red). BTC (in red) Short-term traders should expect to make profits at this level. This is why the correction has occurred over the past few days.
Source: TradingView
The first support zone of this chart is within the range 0. 065 to 0. 067 BTC (green rectangle), which overlaps with the 200-day moving average (in white). If the ETH price against BTC rises above this level, then the bullish structure will still be valid. The red resistance zone will be tested again if the bulls support this level.
Key Support Levels: 0. 065 & 0. 06 BTC
Key Resistance Levels: 0. 073 & 0. 078 BTC
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Ethereum at a Crossroads: Will ETH Fall to $1,250?
The largest altcoin by market cap has been among the biggest underperformers during the late 2024/early 2025 bull run, which saw many assets, including BTC, chart fresh peaks.
ETH’s most recent performance has been even more painful, as the asset dumped to its lowest level since November 2023 at under $1,800. The question raised now by analysts is whether ETH will continue losing ground and dump to $1,250.
ETH at $1,250?
Remember 2021? Back then, ETH was charting massive gains and its price soared toward $5,000. In fact, speculations emerged about a potential event called the ‘flippening,’ in which Ethereum could surpass Bitcoin and become the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Fast-forward some three and a half years later and that seems as distant from reality as fiat money becoming disinflationary. ETH bottomed below $1,000 during the 2022 bear market but went on the offensive again two years later. It failed to decisively overcome the $4,000 target despite its numerous attempts to conquer it in 2024. The latest rejection came in mid-December.
Since then, ETH’s price has nosedived hard, which culminated (for now) earlier this week with a drop below $1,800. As such, Ethereum not only erased all the gains registered after Trump’s presidential election victory but even plunged to its lowest levels since November 2023.
According to Ali Martinez, a crypto analyst with over 130,000 followers on X, the asset’s price drop meant that it had broken out of a years-long parallel channel, which could spell further trouble. In fact, he forecasted a slump to $1,250 – a level not seen in over two years.
CryptoPotato has repeatedly reported in recent weeks Ethereum whales’ predominantly bullish behavior. Recall that within a 48-hour period alone, they accumulated 1.1 million ETH, which is nearly 1% of the total supply. At the prices back then, it was worth over $2 billion in USD.
Martinez brought another chart showing that these large entities acquired more than 420,000 ETH in the following five days, valued at $800 million at today’s prices. Such massive accumulations should benefit the underlying asset as they decrease the immediate selling pressure. However, ETH’s price is yet to stage a notable recovery as it still sits below $2,000.
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Why Is Ethereum (ETH) Falling Without Major Liquidations? ITB Breaks It Down
The price of ether (ETH) has been steadily declining for months, with this plunge taking a turn for the worse recently. However, the market intelligence firm IntoTheBlock found that the latest dip did not trigger huge liquidations compared to previous events.
According to an IntoTheBlock tweet, ETH liquidations have remained relatively moderate despite the cryptocurrency dropping to levels not seen in more than a year.
ETH Is Dipping Without Major Liquidations
IntoTheBlock says the moderate liquidations can be traced to a significant decline in high-risk loans across lending platforms. Investors are taking a risk-off stance as they apply more caution in their positions. This is likely driven by macro concerns regarding potential global tariff tensions.
The United States has been knee-deep in economic uncertainty for a while after President Donald Trump imposed tariffs against its major trade partners, including China, Canada, and Mexico.
Although some industry analysts believe the trade tariffs will positively impact cryptocurrencies, especially bitcoin (BTC), in the long term, the market has experienced high volatility since Trump made the announcements earlier last month. On the day Trump imposed the tariffs, about $400 billion was wiped out from the market, with the overall capitalization falling by at least 11% within 24 hours.
According to CoinMarketCap data, ETH has nosedived from the $2,800 level to at least $1,760 since early February. The second-largest crypto asset has been struggling, and just this week, it fell by roughly 13% after failing to hold a support level above $2,000. The coin is now trading at levels not seen since 2023. It was worth $1,900 at the time of writing.
ETH Price Outlook
CryptoPotatoreported that ETH buyers have retreated and found support at the $1,800 level. However, it remains uncertain if ETH has bottomed and if this support level will be strong enough to reduce the selling pressure and allow the asset to start a recovery.
At its current price, ether is roughly 60% down from its mid-December high of $3,990. Unfortunately, further down pressure could drag the asset to $1,600. These possible scenarios, coupled with Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin, have fueled investor caution.
Meanwhile, IntoTheBlock discovered a few days ago that ETH holders may be seeing this dip as a buying opportunity and are loading up on the asset. This is seen in the amount of ETH that left crypto exchanges last week—$1.8 billion worth of assets, marking the highest weekly amount since December 2022.
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Ethereum Double Trouble: ETH Prices Fall Below $1,800 Price Crash Amid Testnet Attack
Crypto market capitalization has tanked to its lowest point since early November with $240 billion getting wiped out over the past day.
This has resulted in a 6% fall to $2.6 trillion as all post-US election gains have now been wiped out.
Ethereum has taken the brunt of the fall, losing a whopping 16% over 12 hours as it fell from around $2,140 to just below $1,800. Moreover, ETH is struggling to recover and was trading at $1,860 at the time of writing.
ETH Death?
The last time Ethereum traded below $1,800 was in October 2023, when it was slowly emerging from the two-year-long bear market.
There is solid support at current levels, which must be held to prevent the asset from tanking back to bear market lows following the formation of what appears to be a double-top chart pattern.
Ethereum is currently down a painful 62% from its all-time high in 2021, and the ETH/BTC ratio – which is a measure of the price of ETH in terms of Satoshis – is at its lowest level since December 2020, having fallen to 0.023 today, according to Tradingview.
Only Dogecoin (DOGE) had heavier losses than Ethereum in the crypto top twenty today, with the memecoin melting by 11%.
It does beg the question of who would be selling ETH at $2,000 and the answer appears to be whales that are trying to avoid being liquidated, according to Lookonchain.
Needless to say, the Ethereum derision and FUD had escalated to new heights on Crypto Twitter as traders and investors licked their wounds.
Ethereum Testnet Attacked
The ETH angst has been exacerbated by problems with Pectra testing and an unknown attacker sending zero-token transfers, causing empty blocks.
On March 9, Ethereum developer Marius van der Wijden said the issue had been fixed:
“We suspected that the attacker was reading some of our chats, so we decided not to publicize the fix, but only update a few nodes that we controlled in order to get more full blocks on the network,”
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