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Can Bitcoin’s price be slowed by unlimited fiat and government? 2 Analysts Discuss the Theory & Odds

Can Unlimited Fiat and Governments Supress Bitcoin’s Price? 2 Analysts Discuss the Theory and Odds

The price of bitcoin has dropped 72.9% in USD value since the crypto asset’s all-time high ten months ago and recently, bitcoin’s been trading for just under $19K per unit. Two prominent crypto market experts have been discussing ways governments could shorten bitcoin markets this week. However, one of the individuals notes that the odds of doing so are “in the 0%-1% range.”

‘Enough Shorts in the System to Suppress Price’

Bitcoin’s price has been lower this week following the initial drop after the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) published last Tuesday which showed inflation was higher than expected. Moreover, the crypto economy, in general, could see another leg down after the U.S. Federal Reserve raises the benchmark bank rate.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index (CFGI) shows sentiment has dropped from “fear” to “extreme fear” over the last day. On Saturday, the bitcoin analyst Willy Woo published a thread about the possibility of unlimited fiat and derivatives markets suppressing bitcoin prices.

Can Unlimited Fiat and Governments Supress Bitcoin’s Price? 2 Analysts Discuss the Theory and Odds

The thread, called “A dummies guide to selling 42 million BTC,” talks about how Arthur Hayes created the first “BTC casino that real people used, trading billions per day.” Woo remarked that “Arthur gloriously opened the way for us to sell 10 BTC even when we only had 1 BTC — We just need people to take the other side of our bet,” Woo added.

After describing how Hayes created Bitmex in his own fashion, Woo discussed how CME Group, the world’s largest derivatives exchange, “launched a BTC casino where you could front USD to play.”

“Wall Street hedge fund loved that,” Woo’s tweet notes. “What’s the limits on selling BTC now? Unlimited. Fiat is unlimited.” Woo further detailed that BTC had a $0. 37 trillion market cap while the U.S. dollar is around $22 trillion.

The analyst added that $1.1 trillion was created during the last year and said the “theoretical shorting power with fiat” is colossal and that it’s “billions of BTC.” Woo stressed:

BTC doesn’t have to be killed, it just needs enough shorts in the system to suppress price. Without a large market cap, BTC doesn’t get to make global impact.

Can Unlimited Fiat and Governments Supress Bitcoin’s Price? 2 Analysts Discuss the Theory and Odds

Taming Bitcoin

Woo isn’t the only person to discuss matters in this way, as a number of crypto proponents have said that bitcoin derivatives markets and even exchange-traded funds (ETFs) could harm BTC‘s value. This fear has scared investors well before CME Group introduced BTC futures markets in 2017.

Years later, a few studies indicated that it was possible institutional investors could be manipulating bitcoin’s price. CME Group has exposure to a myriad of brokerage firms worldwide and this August, CME bitcoin futures swapped at the largest discount to spot prices since trades began in 2017.

In November 2017, the chairman emeritus of CME Group, Leo Melamed, told Reuters reporters that bitcoin was becoming a “new asset class.” However, Melamed also said it was “a very important step for bitcoin’s history” and that CME Group would “regulate, make bitcoin not wild, nor wilder.” Melamed further stressed:

We’ll tame it into a regular type instrument of trade with rules.

Alex Kruger Says Shorting Bitcoin’s Price so People Lose Interest Permanently Has a Low Probability

On Saturday, the economist, trader, and entrepreneur Alex Kruger tweeted that “governments could stop bitcoin pretty simply.” Kruger further added how it was possible. It’s easy to summarize. Keep it under $10,000 for a long while, [and] watch most people lose interest permanently. No need to bother with 51% attacks.” The economist also added that his statement was a copy and paste of the very statement he said in 2019, and that the probability of this type of thing happening is fairly low.

” “Can it happen?” Kruger inquired. Kruger asked. Is this possible? I’d place the odds in the 0%-1% range.” Kruger also mentioned Willy Woo’s Twitter thread and when someone responded that it was “much more feasible to just ban PoW under climate control rhetoric,” Kruger replied: “100%.”

In Woo’s Twitter thread some people said that removing BTC from spot market exchanges was the best way forward. At the time of writing, crypto exchange data from cryptoquant.com indicates that there’s roughly 2.3 million BTC stored on centralized trading platforms.

“[Bitcoin] with a lower price means that more people are buying it [and] off exchanges,” Dr Crypto Tony stated. “This makes BTC more expensive. Because people have self-custody, they can’t manipulate it as easily as silver [and]. Finite BTC makes it rise in price as more people buy and hold individually. Take [it] off exchanges.”

What do you think about the discussion regarding shorting bitcoin and governments suppressing bitcoin’s price?

Let us know your thoughts in the comments below.

Jamie Redman

Jamie Redman, a journalist and financial tech expert living in Florida, is the News Lead at Bitcoin.com News. Redman has been an active member of the cryptocurrency community since 2011. Redman is passionate about Bitcoin, open-source codes, and decentralized applications. Since September 2015, Redman has written more than 6,000 articles for Bitcoin.com News about the disruptive protocols emerging today.

Image Credits: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Commons

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only. This article is not intended to be a solicitation or offer to buy or sell any products or services. Bitcoin.com does not provide investment, tax, legal, or accounting advice. The author and the company are not responsible for any loss or damage resulting from or in connection to the content, goods, or services discussed in this article.

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Bitcoin Price Watch: $85K Pivot Sets Stage for Weekend Fireworks

Bitcoin traded at $85,287 on Saturday, commanding a $1.69 trillion market capitalization while moving $10.68 billion across exchanges in 24 hours. During the session, the leading cryptocurrency by market cap roamed between $84,366 and $85,398, packing price tension into a narrow corridor that could ignite the next decisive break…
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MEXC launches STORY (IP) launchpool & airdrop+, offering 68,500 IP & 50,000 USDT in bonuses

MEXC, the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform, has announced the launch of its Launchpool initiative in collaboration with the renowned blockchain project STORY (IP). This initiative highlights the close partnership between MEXC and STORY, showcasing their joint efforts to expand the STORY network. By introducing two major events—a Launchpool featuring a 60,000 IP reward pool…


MEXC, the world’s leading cryptocurrency trading platform, has announced the launch of its Launchpool initiative in collaboration with the renowned blockchain project STORY (IP).

This initiative highlights the close partnership between MEXC and STORY, showcasing their joint efforts to expand the STORY network. By introducing two major events—a Launchpool featuring a 60,000 IP reward pool and an Airdrop+ offering 8,500 IP plus 50,000 USDT—this collaboration further accelerates the growth of the STORY network while driving innovation in the blockchain space.

MEXC Supports the STORY Network with the Launch of IP Launchpool

In the digital age, traditional intellectual property (IP) management faces growing challenges. Centralized platforms and complicated intermediaries often lead to inefficiencies, high costs, and trust issues for creators. As a Layer 1 blockchain built with Cosmos SDK, STORY combines DeFi and AI technologies to offer automated, transparent, and cost-effective IP management solutions. With full EVM compatibility and a modular architecture, STORY empowers creators to tokenize their IP assets, automate royalties, and simplify licensing processes. MEXC’s support of the STORY network highlights the growing importance of such innovations in blockchain. 

As a global leader in digital asset trading, MEXC consistently supports innovative blockchain projects. Its Launchpool initiative with STORY reaffirms this commitment. This collaboration not only strengthens the STORY ecosystem but also empowers global creators and developers to explore the potential of decentralized IP management. MEXC’s broad market coverage and strong liquidity offer the environment for blockchain projects like STORY to thrive and bring new possibilities to the digital economy. By allowing users to stake USDT, MX, and IP tokens to earn rewards, MEXC provides a platform for increased exposure and growth for STORY. Visit the STORY (IP) pre-market page to see this innovation in action.

Celebrate the IP Launchpool & Airdrop+ with a Prize Pool of 68,500 IP & 50,000 USDT

As a pioneer in the cryptocurrency industry, MEXC continues to foster innovation and support emerging blockchain ecosystems. MEXC is hosting two major STORY (IP) events: the Airdrop+ event, running from February 12, 2025, 10: 00 (UTC) to February 26, 2025, 10: 00 (UTC), featuring 8,500 IP plus 50,000 USDT in rewards, and the Launchpool, taking place from February 12, 2025, 10: 00 (UTC) to February 15, 2025, 10: 00 (UTC), with a 60,000 IP reward pool. These initiatives underscore MEXC’s ongoing commitment to advancing blockchain innovation and delivering valuable opportunities to the crypto community.

These activities include:

  • Event 1: IP Launchpool – Stake USDT, MX & IP to Share 60,000 IP
  • Event 2: Join Airdrop+ to Share 8,500 IP & 50,000 USDT bonus
    • Perk 1: Deposit and Share 5,600 IP (New User Exclusive).
    • Perk 2: Spot Challenge – Trade to Share 1,700 IP.
    • Perk 3: Futures Challenge – Trade to Share 50,000 USDT in Futures Bonuses.
    • Perk 4: Invite New Users and Share 1,200 IP.

MEXC continues to expand its market share in the centralized exchange space, leveraging its first-mover advantage in listing promising and valuable projects. As one of the leading cryptocurrency exchanges, with its commitment to innovation, user-centric approach, and strategic focus on early-stage token listings, MEXC remains at the forefront of the crypto industry, providing strong access to the rapidly growing blockchain ecosystem.

About MEXC

Founded in 2018, MEXC is committed to being “Your Easiest Way to Crypto”. Serving over 30 million users across 170+ countries, MEXC is known for its broad selection of trending tokens, frequent airdrop opportunities, and low trading fees. Our user-friendly platform is designed to support both new traders and experienced investors, offering secure and efficient access to digital assets. MEXC prioritizes simplicity and innovation, making crypto trading more accessible and rewarding.

MEXC Official Website X TelegramHow to Sign Up on MEXC


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Jailed BTC-e operator Vinnik released in US-Russia prisoner swap

US to release jailed BTC-e operator Alexander Vinnik in a prisoner swap with Russia. Vinnik, arrested in 2017, is part of the exchange that saw Russia release jailed US schoolteacher Marc Fogel. Alexander Vinnik, jailed in the US after being convicted on charges of money laundering, is being released as part of a prisoner swap.…


  • US to release jailed BTC-e operator Alexander Vinnik in a prisoner swap with Russia.
  • Vinnik, arrested in 2017, is part of the exchange that saw Russia release jailed US schoolteacher Marc Fogel.

Alexander Vinnik, jailed in the US after being convicted on charges of money laundering, is being released as part of a prisoner swap.

The former operator of the Russian crypto exchange BTC-e will head to Russia after the Kremlin reportedly agreed to an exchange involving US national Marc Fogel.

According to the BBC, the White House confirmed the prisoner exchange,with Trump having spoken to Fogel.The schoolteacher left Russia on Tuesday, Feb. 11.

Who is Vinnik?

Alexander Vinnik, 44, is a crypto kingpin that operated the Bitcoin exchange BTC-e. Authorities arrested Vinnik in 2017 in Greece, with the Department of Justice filing charges of money laundering involving nearly $4 billion.

According to prosecutors, Vinnik allowed cyber criminals to use BTC-e to launder and store proceeds of crimes, including crypto hacks, ransomware attacks and identity theft.

The Russian national’s reign at the helm of the exchange saw him promote the platform to perpetrators of these crimes. US authorities blamed him for the loss of $121 million.

Notably, New Zealand police also seized $90 million from the BTC-e operator.

Vinnik’s guilty plea in May 2024 meant he faced up to 20 years in prison.

The prisoner swap that sees him leave custody comes after his lawyers failed in a previous attempt to have included in other US-Russia prisoner exchanges. One such push involved the deal that saw Evan Gershkovich, a Wall Street Journal reporter formerly imprisoned in Russia, released.


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