Here’s why DOGE may experience an additional 30% price crash.

The biggest meme coin is among the worst-affected cryptocurrencies from the broader market correction, with its price crashing by 17% over the past week.

The recent whale sell-off could have also negatively impacted Dogecoin.

Selling en Masse

The renowned analyst, using the X handle Ali Martinez, revealed that large Dogecoin investors have dumped more than one billion tokens in the last week alone. The stash equals approximately $165 million (calculated at current rates). Following that move, this cohort of investors now holds less than 23 billion DOGE, representing around 15% of the asset’s circulating supply.

Efforts of that type are generally seen as bearish since they increase the amount of coins on the market, and that could be followed by a price pullback (assuming demand doesn’t react accordingly). The massive sell-off may also spread panic across the community and prompt smaller players to cash out, too.

Shortly after, Martinez touched upon Dogecoin again. He said the OG meme coin has been trading within a rising channel since March, but recently broke below the bottom of that structure at $0.18. This means that DOGE has lost support and could be headed for a more violent crash, potentially dropping as low as $0.11.

The Bullish Scenario

Despite the downtrend, some market observers remain optimistic that not all is lost for Dogecoin for this cycle. X user Chandler reminded that November has been a strong month for the meme coin in recent years, predicting that history might repeat itself.

Elon Musk also infused some positivism. The world’s wealthiest man (who happens to be a firm proponent of DOGE) said in 2021 that SpaceX “is going to put a literal Dogecoin on the literal Moon.” Several hours ago, he referred to that tweet, stating, “It’s time,” but also placed a laughing emoji at the end.

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Meanwhile, DOGE’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that a rebound could be incoming. The technical analysis tool measures the speed and magnitude of recent price changes, helping traders assess potential reversal points. It ranges from 0 to 100, and ratios below 30 are interpreted as bullish, as they suggest DOGE might be oversold. Currently, the RSI hovers around that mark.

Dogecoin drops 14% in a week amid whale selling and weak momentum, but analysts spot a wedge pattern that previously led to a breakout.

Dogecoin has come under pressure, falling more than 6% in the past 24 hours and over 14% in the last week.

As of press time, it is trading near $0.174. The drop is part of a broader market pullback.

Technical Setup Shows Familiar Pattern

Trader Tardigrade, a crypto chart analyst, has pointed out a recurring formation on Dogecoin’s daily chart. The pattern is known as a descending contracting wedge. It is taking shape with three clear touches on the lower support line and two touches on the upper resistance line. This same setup appeared on the chart in August and led to a sharp move upward after the breakout.

The current wedge, formed between October and early November, closely matches the earlier pattern. A breakout from the resistance line has already occurred, marked by a green circle on the chart shared by Tardigrade. If the past price movement repeats, Dogecoin could see a short-term rise toward the $0.26 to $0.28 range. The structure alone, however, does not confirm direction. It will depend on volume and trader participation.

In addition to the daily chart, Tardigrade also shared a broader monthly view. Dogecoin appears to be forming a long-term rounding bottom pattern. Based on the chart’s depth, this setup could project a move toward $4.14. This structure reflects price behavior over a much more extended period and does not suggest any immediate shift.

Moreover, another key formation can be seen on the 3-day chart, where Dogecoin is trading inside a wide ascending channel. The asset is now near the bottom of that channel, which has previously acted as support.

$Doge/3-day#Dogecoin has been moving within a large Ascending Channel.


It’s currently positioned at the bottom of the channel 👀 pic.twitter.com/lkSB3ChbLd

— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) November 3, 2025

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Indicators Reflect Weak Momentum

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is now at 35. While not yet oversold, it is approaching levels that may cause short-term price stabilization or a bounce.

Meanwhile, Bollinger Bands show the price moving below the lower band, suggesting increased downside volatility or selling exhaustion. The 20-day moving average currently stands at $0.19185, which Dogecoin is trading well below.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez stated that $0.18 is a key support level. He referred to it as a “strong buy-the-dip zone” if the price holds. Since the asset is now under this level, its strength will be tested.

Whale Activity and Futures Market Show Cooling Interest

Wallets holding 10–100 million DOGE sold 440 million tokens over three days last week. This large-scale selling added to the recent price pressure and may have led smaller investors to follow.

Open interest in Dogecoin futures currently stands at $1.67 billion. This is far below its previous peak of over $6 billion. Lower open interest often reflects reduced trading activity and less leverage in the market. With both price and open interest moving lower, there is little sign of strong directional momentum for now.