Bitcoin
Ethereum Price Forms Textbook Chart Pattern Aiming for $12,000, Top Altcoin Follows
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Ethereum price continues to capture the attention of traders as analysts point to a textbook descending broadening wedge pattern that could see the cryptocurrency surge toward $12,000.
While Bitcoin (BTC) dominates headlines with its latest peak, Ethereum (ETH) remains coiled within a range-bound channel, reflecting steady accumulation. At the same time, a new altcoin, currently in its presale stage, is emerging as a major contender for its promising presale and pioneering DeFi features.
Ethereum Price Outlook and Market Signals
Ethereum has shown a mixed short-term trajectory, climbing from lows near $4,475 to hover around $4,586. Despite this recovery, the digital asset has repeatedly faced resistance near $4,700.
Analysts note that the TD Sequential indicator is signaling potential exhaustion, suggesting a short-term correction could push ETH toward support zones between $4,500 and $4,100. Lower boundaries of the current channel around $3,780 also highlight where cautious traders may expect price consolidation if selling pressure intensifies.
Institutional moves are influencing market sentiment as well. Recent data show a major institution fully liquidating $45.21 million worth of Ethereum, following previous outflows. While such actions suggest short-term volatility, broader optimism remains, with bulls eyeing targets at $4,784 and beyond. On-chain analysts remain divided, balancing technical sell signals against continued confidence in Ethereum’s long-term potential.
PayDax Protocol (PDP): Presale Momentum and Features
As Ethereum eyes major gains, the emerging PayDax Protocol (PDP) presents a different investment angle, combining lending, staking, and real-world asset integration. PDP’s ongoing presale has already raised over $911,000, with 25% of the total 240 million PDP tokens sold at $0.015 each before the price increases to $0.017 in the next stage. Notably, early purchaser includes VC firms and institutions, signaling confidence from entities accustomed to due diligence and risk assessment.
As the presale progresses, PayDax project has undergone and passed a rigorous KYC audit by Assure DeFi, the Verification Gold Standard™ serving the crypto space since 2021. This audit confirms the legal accountability of founders, signals transparency, improves credibility, and supports regulatory compliance, ensuring that presale participants can make informed decisions. The team is fully doxed, led by CEO Werner Van Staden, CTO Maksim Petukhov, and CMO Matej Petrik, offering further confidence in project governance.
Turning to PayDax’s design, it aims to allow users to borrow against staked tokens, LP tokens, or tokenized real-world assets without liquidating them. In combination with fixed interest rates and a community-driven Stability Pool, this structure increases capital efficiency compared to traditional DeFi protocols. The layered rewards, governance rights, and staking incentives are designed to make PDP more than just a speculative asset, positioning it as a functional component of a growing ecosystem.
Comparing PDP and ETH as Investment Opportunities
While Ethereum price projections highlight a potential rally to $12,000 if the resistance at $4,700 is broken, the PayDax Protocol (PDP) presents a unique early-stage entry point with clear mechanisms for growth and utility. PDP’s presale price increments, combined with institutional participation, suggest that market demand may outpace supply as the protocol expands features.
Unlike Ethereum (ETH), where price swings can be heavily influenced by macroeconomic factors and short-term trader sentiment, PDP benefits from predictable borrowing models and staking structures that appeal to both retail and institutional investors.
Additionally, PayDax’s ability to accept a wide range of assets as collateral, combined with KYC-verified founders, addresses concerns regarding security and team accountability. This contrasts with Ethereum, where new investors must navigate broader volatility and on-chain liquidity challenges. By maintaining transparency and regulatory alignment, PDP creates a structured environment that can attract more measured investment alongside speculative interest.
Lastly, early presale participants can use the promo code PD80BONUS to receive a 25% bonus or participate in the Refer & Earn program and earn a 5% bonus for every friend they invite.
Join the PayDax Protocol (PDP) presale and community.
Join Paydax Protocol (PDP) presale | Website | Whitepaper | X (Twitter)
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Bitcoin
Bitcoin surges as US government shutdown ignites the market
Bitcoin has surged to its highest level in over two months, above $119,000. The rally is a direct reaction to the US government shutting down operations. The shutdown is expected to create a “positive liquidity impulse” for markets. The political paralysis in Washington has become the crypto market’s rocket fuel. Bitcoin has surged to its…
- Bitcoin has surged to its highest level in over two months, above $119,000.
- The rally is a direct reaction to the US government shutting down operations.
- The shutdown is expected to create a “positive liquidity impulse” for markets.
The political paralysis in Washington has become the crypto market’s rocket fuel.
Bitcoin has surged to its highest level in over two months, blasting past the $119,000 mark as the US government officially shut down its operations, a dramatic development that traders are betting will ultimately unleash a wave of new liquidity into the financial system.
The leading cryptocurrency has jumped nearly 4 percent in the past 24 hours, with prices briefly touching $119,455 for the first time since mid-August.
The rally was broad-based, with other major tokens like Ether, XRP, and Solana all rising between 4 and 7 percent.
This is the market’s clear and unambiguous verdict on the chaos gripping the US capital.
A bet on a blind Fed, a wager on new money
The logic behind the rally is a bet on the second-order effects of the shutdown. With the government’s lights now off, the release of key economic data—most notably Friday’s all-important nonfarm payrolls report—will likely be delayed.
This data blackout will effectively blind the Federal Reserve, making it far more likely to proceed with its planned interest rate cuts.
“If ADP is a leading signal and the BLS print is delayed, the Fed is likely to deliver a 25 bp cut in October and pair it with guidance that keeps a second cut on the table by December,” said Matt Mena, a Crypto Research Strategist at 21Shares.
This is the “positive liquidity impulse” that has the market so excited: an expansion of liquidity that makes it easier and cheaper to borrow money, a dynamic that encourages economic growth and, crucially, risk-taking in financial markets.
For some, this shutdown surge is more than just a temporary trade; it is a sign of a fundamental shift in the market’s DNA.
“The message is clear: with traditional data releases in flux and macro uncertainty running high, Bitcoin remains one of the few assets that thrives when the old playbook breaks down,” Mena noted.
“Investors should be watching this moment closely – it could mark the next explosive leg higher in crypto markets.”
The volatility trade: ‘options look cheap’
This expectation of an “explosive” move is now being actively priced into the derivatives market.
According to Greg Magadini, the Director of Derivatives at Amberdata, the long dry spell of low volatility may be about to end, and options are currently looking cheap.
“After a long ‘dry spell’ for BTC volatility, the US government shutdown could finally be the catalyst to make BTC move a lot,” Magadini told CoinDesk.
This, coupled with the steep contango in implied volatility term structure, makes options look cheap.
That “steep contango” means the market is expecting future volatility to be significantly higher than it is today, making near-term options a relative bargain.
Magadini highlighted the “long straddle”—a strategy that profits from a big price move in either direction—as a preferred way to play the impending volatility boom.
“These catalysts could either cause BTC to rally (as a dollar hedge) or crash (if risk assets panic),” he said, explaining why a bet on pure volatility, rather than direction, is so appealing at this uncertain juncture. The quiet days, it seems, are over.
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Metaplanet’s Bitcoin holdings reach 30,823 BTC after strategic Q3 acquisition
Metaplanet acquired 5,288 BTC in Q3 2025; total holdings reach 30,823 BTC. Bitcoin Income Generation revenue jumps 115.7% to $16.16M. Long-term target: 210,000 BTC by 2027, backed by major institutional investors. Metaplanet has taken a bold step in expanding its Bitcoin treasury, acquiring an additional 5,288 BTC during the third quarter of 2025. This purchase…
Bitcoin
ARK Invest Highlights Bitcoin’s On-Chain Strength for Q4 Gains Ahead
TLDR
- ARK reports that institutional entities now hold 12.2% of Bitcoin’s total supply.
- Bitcoin’s on-chain signals show strong demand with long-term holders maintaining positions.
- Mid-sized investors have been adding to Bitcoin positions, supporting rally stability.
- Macroeconomic shifts and easing inflation may further boost Bitcoin demand.
Bitcoin’s core fundamentals remain strong as the cryptocurrency enters the final quarter of 2025, according to ARK Invest. The firm notes that on-chain metrics, such as network activity, profitability, and supply distribution, are indicating a positive outlook for Bitcoin’s price performance. As institutional involvement grows and macroeconomic factors evolve, Bitcoin could experience further upward momentum, although some caution remains due to potential market volatility.
On-Chain Metrics Indicate Strong Demand
In ARK Invest’s recent Bitcoin Quarterly report, the firm pointed to positive on-chain signals that suggest Bitcoin’s fundamentals are holding firm. The data reveals that most of the Bitcoin in circulation is in profit, with long-term holders showing little indication of selling.
ARK Invest notes that this behavior has historically coincided with bull market phases. Additionally, the majority of Bitcoin is held by investors with a low propensity to sell, which has contributed to a more stable market.
The report also highlights the increasing role of mid-sized investors in recent months. These investors have been steadily adding to their Bitcoin positions, signaling renewed confidence in the market. Combined with a slowdown in selling from larger holders, this could suggest a more organic market rally, less reliant on speculative trading and more driven by long-term holders and institutional interest.
Institutional Adoption Reaches New Heights
ARK Invest also points to the continued growth of institutional participation in Bitcoin. The firm reports that institutional entities, including digital asset trusts and Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), now hold over 12% of Bitcoin’s total supply. This marks a record level of institutional ownership and reflects Bitcoin’s increasing integration into traditional capital markets.
According to ARK, this rising institutional presence is beneficial for the market as it provides more stability and lessens the reliance on retail-driven volatility. Furthermore, regulated investment vehicles like ETFs and trusts continue to absorb new Bitcoin supply, which could result in a tighter available float. As more institutions add Bitcoin to their portfolios, the asset may become a more recognized component of diversified investment strategies, potentially driving further demand.
Macroeconomic Factors Could Support Growth
In addition to on-chain data and institutional involvement, ARK Invest highlights macroeconomic trends that could further benefit Bitcoin. The firm notes that inflation is under control and signs of a weakening labor market are encouraging a shift in Federal Reserve policy. This shift, along with possible government moves towards deregulation and tax reductions, could create a favorable environment for risk assets like Bitcoin.
ARK suggests that these conditions, along with an improving macroeconomic backdrop, could lead to “productivity-led growth.” This environment has historically been supportive of risk assets, including Bitcoin, and could reinforce the positive signals already seen in the market. If these trends continue, Bitcoin’s demand could be further boosted as we approach the end of 2025.
Caution on Market Cycles
While ARK Invest maintains a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, the firm also cautions that timing will play a critical role in the market’s performance. The report notes that historical market cycles suggest there may be periods of increased volatility or consolidation. Although the fundamentals are strong, ARK warns that investors should be prepared for potential market swings as the market digests recent gains.
Despite this, ARK remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s future, given the strong on-chain signals and institutional involvement. As we move into the final months of 2025, the firm believes that these factors could create a solid foundation for continued price appreciation. However, market participants should remain vigilant, as the timing of market cycles could bring both opportunities and challenges.
ARK Invest’s report emphasizes Bitcoin’s continued strength, both in terms of its on-chain metrics and growing institutional adoption. The firm believes these factors, combined with favorable macroeconomic conditions, set the stage for potential gains in the fourth quarter of 2025. However, investors should stay mindful of possible volatility as the market continues to evolve.
Kelvin Munene is a crypto and finance journalist with over 5 years of experience in market analysis and expert commentary. He holds a Bachelor’s degree in Journalism and Actuarial Science from Mount Kenya University and is known for meticulous research in cryptocurrency, blockchain, and financial markets. His work has been featured in top publications including Coingape, Cryptobasic, MetaNews, Coinedition, and Analytics Insight. Kelvin specializes in uncovering emerging crypto trends and delivering data-driven analyses to help readers make informed decisions. Outside of work, he enjoys chess, traveling, and exploring new adventures.
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